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Oops, I negelcted to post the numbers with my numbers logic post and why I feel it is possible for Obama to win. These are the % numbers where he won contests.
566159606567565875645757495153555676
616868
667574
616759
38 Iowa
He has won by 59% or better 17 times versus Clinton winning at 59% or better twice. Hence my numbers logic, that he, not she is most likely to reach more 60/40 or 50/50 state splits than she.
Continuing my numbers post, the only way Obama could lose to the Clintons now is by a 60/40 delegate split. I see from Obama '08 community member post that my reported uncommitted delegate numbers have already changed. As per the prior posts, even with a 50/50 split on all remaining contests and supre delegates would give Obama a win and would not give Hillary what she needs.
In contests Obama won he wins at an average of 61%. In contests she won she wins at an aveage of 53%. He lost at less than 40% 6 times to her losing at less than 40% 10 times. Some of those contests where when Richardson and Edwards were still in the contest.
Logic tells me there is no way, based on voting habits of the prior states, that the Clintons can pull off the needed 60/40 wins; at best she can hope for 50/50, when all 5 conests are done and all super delegates are counted. But she can not win unless she gets that 60/40 which is more in favor of Obama obtaining.
She has already tried some of her old First Lady stunts, such as with Billy Dale. They did garner her some support. Going even lower in her bag of tricks would be the only thing that could give her a win now. Sad the press refuses to report on the Clintons fraud trial. Hiding the Flowers court case helped get Bill his win. They are truly experienced in manipulation tactics and have the power to do it. That is the only reason I am not delcaring Obama the winner until I see it. Just cautiously confident.
As per prior numbers posts, after doing the research and my unscientific math, I have concluded that what everyone is saying is true, Obama is the presumptive winner for the Democrat bid.
Neither candidate can win all 274 delegates in the remaining states.WVA 39KY 60OR 65Puerto Rico 63Montanta 24SD 23
As per prior post, I did some research yesterday after an Obama blogger expressed concern about "the numbers" and "who's watching the numbers". The numbers have already changed slightly and I am not exactly a math whiz, but I now know why the numbers are very favorable to an Obama win.
My numbers came from CNN Election 2008.
1842 (Obama needs 183 more delegates)1686 (Clinton needs 339 more delegates)
There were 240 uncommitted super delegates and 274 contest delegates left to divide. Basically for the Clintons to beat Obama, Hillary would need a 60/40% split.
At 50/50 split of 257 state and super delegates, Clinton would lose and Obama would win.At 60/40 split of 368 to 205. (CL 2054 Ob 2047). It is highly unlikely she can get the 60/40 split. She could not do so in PA, IN or NC.
Reading Obama '08 community blog memer posts, I see that he has already gotten some of those uncommitted delegates, but the math still works.
Earlier today a hysterical blogger WANTED TO KNOW ABOUT NUMBERS!!! WHO'S WATCHING THE NUMBERS!!! I am an "aim to please" person, so tried to find an answer. By the time I returned the post was lost~back pages and pages, never to be found again. I am not sure my numbers are what she was looking for, but after doing the work, I am posting them!!!
This is part one, I am now too tired to type it all tonight.
Obama won 27 States to Clinton's 16. Obama won more delegates in Texas and Nevada. Percentages...
Now that's spinning the numbers. According to this, the following table shows how many percent more Clinton had more superdelegates compared to Obama.
01.13.08 69 165 139% 02.03.08 105 198 89% 02.24.08 174 238 37% 03.23.08 210 246 17% 04.29.08 239 259 8%
That means that Obama is now 1600%(!) closer to Clinton's amount of supers compared to when this election cycle started.
As stated in prior post, Obama's overall Alexa ranking today is 2,577 and 527 among only USA internet users. Here are the stats from other countries:
The ***s are countries where no Alexa ranking was listed. Under percentages of what country pageviews were generated from as noted in prior post 10.7% Obama users were listed as "from other countries". I imagine that means those had less than that .04%. Clinton's other country is 9.8% and McCain's is 5.3%.
What surprised me about these stats was that Obama had no rank in the Philippines or China.
To give you an idea of where this website stands in relation to usage of other webistes here are some current rankings in just the United States:
1-Google 2-Yahoo 3-Myspace 4-YouTube 5-Facebook19-CNN-Cable News Network20-ESPN Sportszone32-New York Times33-Digg143-NBA759-Fox News760-Major League Baseball Overall Obama ranks 2,577 to Clinton's 9,936 to McCain's 24,399.Rank in the United States alone: 587 Obama2,462 Clinton5,323 McCain
Or Obama's site gets visited more often than Fox News among US internet users.
Alexa dot com is considered the definitive source for website ranking information. They base rankings on the number of hits or pageviews per day to sites around the web. Alexa provides these stats for Barackobama.com:
71% of visitors are from the United States with 3.1% from Canada, 2.1% from United Kingdom, 1.6% from Germany, 1.2% from France and 1% from Indonesia. Visitors from other countries listed at Alexa dot com are less than 1 percentage point. There are 18 other countries listed with .7% to .4% and all other countries account for 10.7% of Obama dot com's pageviews.
Time Zones! I am not sure when we switched from the 8th to the 9th, but as of a few minutes ago my time (the 8th) these were the number of pages of blog posts found on the Obama '08 Community Blog pages:
April 8,115March 2,363February 1,974January 1,118
2007December 307November 238October 241September 231August 130July 117June 105May 112April 171March 201February 365Or this month we Obama bloggers are posting about 1,000 pages a day or 42 pages an hour or 7 pages per minute. That is a lot of reading to do. Who can read 7 pages a minute to keep up with all the new blog posts? I am not sure if there is a usual numer of posts per page; but a quick count of 3 pages showed 20 on each page or 140 new blog posts each minute.
Yahoo for polls from multiple sources!
Anyone have anything to say about the particular sources? Maybe I will select a few in the coming months and make some pretty graphs for y'all's viewing pleasure. ;)
