Do not live life from fear, littleones (oh my)To take away your home, they might just tryCertainly the blaming gets nothing doneBut by closing your eyes, they'd steal your Sun They have an army and you are but oneSacrificial lamb bled for the chosenYour own integrity is what you riskWhen their salaries met you fleeced, how briskBeing placed next in the bank's line of whimThis life you never put out on a limbTo fight your way back in two recessionsSomehow Three-Card Monty nets them trillions They never do better when the truth gratesAs if the door to Heaven was Bill GatesThose that have so much they give it awayNot to defame one man for all He gaveUncle Sam, for offering solutionsFall not into freedom's disillusionsThe answers don't lie in your camp of yurtsBest not you lose sight of the equal hurtsBut living in true peace apart from greed Not to enforce your will or kind of creedWhile dangers created by divisionInnocent lives will meet in collisionDon't ever change the side of right for mightAs hunger's appeased, others need your lightFind the little lambs who were chosen tooThe ducks in your row that follow true blue Live in life that power of convictionTell the words of our human conditionWritten 04/04/09 copyright ME Wilson
Dear President Obama,
Great news! I have been writing senators and representatives for months saying that unless we stopped the torrent of foreclosures coming down the river, we would need another 700 billion dollar bailout soon. Taking steps to stop the flow is absolutely essential. But please bear in mind that it is not just those who are behind in their payments who are suffering and struggling. I know of one family whose income was cut down to 30% of what is was, he took a job 40 miles away, commutes in a gas-guzzling truck that he can't sell because oil prices went crazy and they are still making their house payments on time ... because they feel it is the right thing to do. I applaud their courage and integrity but I imagine it is hard for them to keep that integrity intact when others who gave up and quit making payments are getting help and they cannot.
Now, please take the next necessary step. Get the glut of foreclosures absorbed. The $8,000 tax credit for first-time home buyers WILL NOT DO THAT, and here's why:
1) Most first-time home buyers are not standing in a pile of cash when they buy. Most often, they are scraping nickels together, asking for a little help from Mom & Dad, etc. Where do our lawmakers in Washington think these first-time home buyers are going to get the money to make these homes habitable?
2) Distress-sale properties are neglected or intentionally damaged because the homeowner is angry about losing it. Last week, (in 17-degree weather), I showed four homes to a first-time home buyer who wanted to buy one of these great foreclosure deals. None of them had heat on or lights. None of them were winterized. ALL of them had ice frozen in the bottom of the toilet bowl. When spring hits and the pipes let loose, that’ll be a $5,000 repair, thank you very much! Do you really think I should even suggest to a buyer he/she buy such a headache? Not for more than 10 cents on the dollar, anyway.
3) What first-time home buyer – or ANY buyer, for that matter -- is going to buy a home without being able to inspect it? Many of these third-party foreclosure companies refuse to turn the lights and heat on so a buyer can do inspections. They are selling it as-is, whatever as-is is, apparently.
4) A high percentage of first-time home buyers want to finance FHA. FHA will not finance a home that requires significant repairs but Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae won’t even turn the lights on to see if the furnace works. What do you think an FHA appraiser will do with that? Kill the deal!! Understandably so. What our legislators don’t seem to grasp is that FHA and Freddie/Fannie are working at cross purposes.
If you want to get rid of the foreclosures on the market, there is a very simple solution that will: 1) Absorb the glut of distress-sale properties within 12 – 18 months; 2) put trades people back to work; 3) Curtail the plummeting, deep-discounting of well-maintained homes because of the neighboring distress sales, and 4) free up cash for banks to lend money again.
ELIMINATE capital gains tax on any real estate purchase in 2009 and 2010. That’s it, nothing more. An investor could buy a $50,000 home in Wyoming, put $20,000 into it, and sell it where it should in a reasonably normal, healthy market, say, $90,000 to $100,000. The folks who are trying to sell the home they’ve taken good care of for 20 years are getting hammered by the foreclosure dumps. But if they were competing against other decent homes, they would not be subjected to the huge discounting happening now. Not only that, but remember those first-time home buyers who are not standing in a pile of cash? THEY would have choices of homes to buy that would require they spend thousands of dollars making it livable. Simple.
A lot of investors who lost 30, 40, 50% in stocks over the past couple years have moved their money into T-bills and are waiting to see where to invest it to make money. If they saw an opportunity to make 20 or 30% on their investment TAX-FREE, they would jump into the market. But would THEY do the work to fix them up? No, of course not. They would call plumbers and electricians, and furnace people and plumbers … and our trades would go back to work.
There would be no need for Mr. Gaithner’s joint venture to buy up bad paper. Our free-market economy will have already taken care of it.
Respectfully, Mr. President,
HOMEBUYER TAX CREDIT TIME IS A TICKEN!First time home buyers purchasing any kind of home—new or resale—are eligible for the tax credit. To qualify for the tax credit, a home purchase must occur on or after April 9, 2008 and before July 1, 2009. For the purposes of the tax credit, the purchase date is the date when closing occurs.You claim the tax credit on your federal income tax return. No other applications or forms are required. No pre-approval is necessary; however, prospective home buyers will want to be sure they qualify for the credit under the income limits and first-time home buyer tests.Any home purchased by an eligible first-time home buyer will qualify for the credit, provided that the home will be used as a principal residence and the buyer has not owned a home in the previous three years. This includes single-family detached homes, attached homes like townhouses and condominiums, manufactured homes (also known as mobile homes) and houseboats.CLICK ON THE LINK BELOW TO START YOUR SEARCH FOR A REALTOR A HOME, GET PRE-APPROVED AND GET MOVING TODAY!http://138761-micro.yourmlshomesearch.com/atj/microsite/MicrositePageGetAction.do
Mr. President,
The Republicans have a point that the Democrats can not do it alone. It’s the voice of many people that make a project the best it can be. However I do agree that cutting taxes is not the best course of action. Business these days are hoarding every penny trying to make it through the recession (14 months and still going) banks are also in the same boat they will not lend money, when the risks are to high. Also a floor must be put in place to stop the drop in home values, I believe you can not trust the current crop of banks to aid in this matter. I think that any one of the banks that have been taken over the FDIC should acquire these loans and have the people that work there come up with best strategy to stem the tide of foreclosure. Well that’s what I think.
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Our working class is dominated by an apparently singular mythos. One that seems to have found it's genesis in heroic literature and in the American west where individual effort resulted in, presumably, heroic consequences. We salute as a body the individual via his efforts. Even Mister Rogers said that we are each special and unique and that we each have a special and unique place in the world, essentially recapitulating the idea that God creates each of us in order to affect some necessary function within the world as we know it. He was by the way an immensely charming man, Mr. Rogers that is, obviously extremely well intended and is well remembered by me and probably all of my peers. Nonetheless this myth is, I think, an antecedent of the deconstruction of the American working class family.
The industrial age at it's inception with its focus on group endeavor made no dent in this powerful myth or communal self description but did add a principle, a sotto voce contractual principle, in which the individual, with uniqueness of function in hand, even if his or her function was only that of a cog for the betterment of society at large, deserved and got substantial support from that society upon retirement.
This addition to our pre-existing working class mythos has no bearing on the way that other, wealthier, classes perceive a working individual or the working class as a whole. And that, in fact, more wealthy classes seem to see this support of the individual worker as a sort of corporate welfare in which their expenses, read wages, are externalized through the exploitation of taxpayer burden, thereby placing the burden of the care of any individual directly on the working class as a body rather than on that individual.
A laudable system actually, one that not only has provided for millions of Americans upon retirement but circuitously, if unintentionally, engaged an interior myth of the working class while solving the problem in a much more rational, less illusioned fashion. It is both elegant and a textbook Klein bottle effect.
But is this not a societal paradigm that begs a question? Does not the assertion that we are each special and unique end in proving that the great mass of the working class is nothing but an exploitable resource?
I spoke to an elderly man in in Berkeley a couple of years ago. We were preparing his house for sale by replacing windows, doors, sheetrock and cabinets. He said that he had to move because it had become too expensive to live there anymore. He said that in the sixties a working guy would sell his home, if he had to move, to another working guy for a price that was fair and that the other guy could afford. He said that in the early seventies the sale of working class homes became an "Investment Opportunity" for working people. He said that this had never happened before and that before that workers stuck together. In addition he suggested that the self exploitation of workers was increasing and very dangerous calling investors in both real estate and the market sheep in wolves clothing that were compromising the only power that the working class have, unity for personal gain and at the same time creating an environment that could no longer support the very people it was created for.I heard him.
Seemingly the last man standing in this socioeconomic spray of imaginary heroics is the one that writes the paycheck for it is he who appears to benefit from the social security system. This may be true but not for the small business owner. Here enters the amazing web of confusing red tape and presumed cost sharing that is the burden of the small business employer. The impenetrable thicket and skyrocketing costs of insurances in combination with a truly amazing body of law is in effect a Lilliputian effort at restraining what could be the only hope of the working class since these employers emerge from the same class as their employees. Essentially strapping the small business owner to debatable civic responsibilities at the expense of the well being of his employees and ultimately himself thereby, perhaps coincidentally, creating a versus relationship therein. As a result of this quagmire of law and insurances the small business owner simply cannot afford to pay his employees what they need to actually support themselves throughout their lives.
The political sphere resonates with domination and power mongering. What was to be a merely organizational effort i.e., government, has blossomed, triumphed. Corporations via the dollar rule with an iron fist the ground they share with citizens. And idealism at best a quaint spark fades and is overshadowed by a realism necessitated by bullies, the creators and maintainers of wealth. Swords are sharpened in wait for the next spending spree; humanism hasn't a shred of hope in the wake of the almighty faceless economic juggernaut that is self interest as expressed by the corporation.
There is a passage in Richard Jefferies' book The Story of my Heart in which he writes "Is there any theory, philosophy, or creed," he says, "is there any system of culture, any formulated method, able to meetand satisfy each separate item of this agitated pool of human life? By which they may be guided, by which they may hope, by which look forward? Not a mere illusion of the craving heart--something real, as real as the solid walls of fact against which, like seaweed, they are dashed; something to give each separate personality sunshine and a flower in its own existence now; something to shape this million-handed labor to an end and outcome that will leave more sunshine and more flowers to those who must succeed? Something real now, and not in the spirit-land; in this hour now, as I stand and the sun burns. . . . Full well aware that all has failed, yet, side by side with the sadness of that knowledge, there lives on in me an unquenchable belief, thought burning like the sun, that there is yet something to be found.... It must be dragged forth by the might of thought from the immense forces of the universe."
Jeffries casts himself as a romantic dreamer whiling away the day while standing before a beauteous terrain lost in thought with his hands in his pockets. But on closer inspection this passage makes a very interesting point and asks an interesting question. What can the working class point itself toward that will aid them in their efforts and keep them trudging foreword in their labors?
I guess the point I was trying to make before I lost my way here was that economically it has been the tack of administrations and the political sphere in general to solve the post industrial working class problem by setting us one against another economically. But that like the old man in Berkeley I believe that unity is the only way out.
During a conversation I had with Taj Mahal several months ago I asked what he thought would become of the working class after the deconstruction of the support systems attendant upon it and the obvious end of the industrial age here in America. His answer was that we as a class should become creative producers in the world arena. He said that creativity could and should be learned and taught in schools. He said that as a body the working class could, utilizing creativity, raise itself from the desperate straits it now faces.
This seemed idealistic to me initially. As I gave it some thought though I realized that I had internalized a presumptive and perhaps arrogant element of our world view that states that creativity and the efforts that it fosters are a realm available to a few.
He may be on to something. I don't know.
I do know that something has to happen though. The burgeoning working class is far too large to fit in the service industries and the service industries cannot pay their employees enough to ever buy a house or send even one kid to college.
Anybody got any ideas?
Here is the link to my prediction of when home values will come back to their highs in 2006:
http://www.t-shirtshopper.com/future_home_values.htm
I based my chart on a historic home price chart I found at http://housingbubble.jparson.net . I expanded the chart to show the historic trajectory of home values in order to predict the home values bottom and when values will recover from the height of the market in 2006. If this chart is correct, it looks like home values and their prices will be corrected sometime in the 1st or 2nd quarter of 2009. That's the good news. The bad news is that anyone that bought a home in 2006, may not see their home values come back until as early as 2029 and as late as 2062. I did this to show just how serious the problem is. There are alot of people that think their home values will come back in just a couple years. I hope I'm wrong, but I wanted to show everyone what I found. If anyone else has data that suggest the contrary please post it on the blog.
Now the only problem I forsee with this law is that banks may end up dictating home prices. That's a big maybe.. I think the reason they require 20% or 10% down is just in case you pay to much for a home. So if you put 20% down and the home is worth 20% less well, the bank wouldn't take that loss. That would be on you. But if it goes beyond the 20%, then the law would state the bank would be required to write down the principle of the loan to the home value minus the 20%. This is only fair that the bank would do this. After all you've already lost everything you put down. You took that much risk. The bank should take the rest.
If anyone has any thoughts or ideas for or against proposed law, please add it to this blog.
We have built a business on helping real estate agents both offline and online through our website http://realestatelicensedirect.com. Working so closely with the faces behind a stuggling industry makes it pretty apparent that a change is in order.
We are hoping that President Obama will put forth the effort and knowledge needed to rebuild our economy, our beloved real estate industry and every other industry that real people just like us, rely on everyday to provide for themselves and their loved ones.
What are your views on the future of the real estate industry?
I know how busy you must be so I’ll leave get right to the point: This is an idea I had for a program that could be part of the economic recovery plan. I hope it is of use to you.
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BRAZIL ON OBAMA
Fundraising is a political necessity. ReDubyLickin alarm over Obama/Biden's fundraising success is nothing but sour-grape hypocrisy. Both parties accept large donations, but from predictably different interests:
http://www.nytimes.com/2008/10/21/us/politics/21donate.html The Times examination of donors who wrote checks of $25,000 or more through September found some notable differences in the industries from which Mr. Obama and Mr. McCain drew their largest contributions. Compared with Mr. Obama, Mr. McCain drew a slightly larger percentage of his big-donor money from the financial industry, about a fifth of his total. The next biggest amount in large checks for Mr. McCain came from real estate and then donors who identified themselves as retired. With his emphasis on offshore drilling, Mr. McCain has also enjoyed heavy support from generous benefactors in the oil and gas industry, a group Mr. Obama drew relatively little from. After the financial arena, Mr. Obama drew the most in checks of $25,000 or more from retirees and lawyers — Mr. McCain collected significantly less in large donations from lawyers — followed by those in real estate. Mr. Obama also drew a significant amount from big givers in the entertainment industry, who contributed relatively little to Mr. McCain. In contrast, donations from the private equity and hedge fund industries accounted for a significantly greater amount of the giving from Mr. McCain’s largest donors, compared with Mr. Obama’s.
http://www.nytimes.com/2008/10/21/us/politics/21donate.html
The Times examination of donors who wrote checks of $25,000 or more through September found some notable differences in the industries from which Mr. Obama and Mr. McCain drew their largest contributions.
Compared with Mr. Obama, Mr. McCain drew a slightly larger percentage of his big-donor money from the financial industry, about a fifth of his total. The next biggest amount in large checks for Mr. McCain came from real estate and then donors who identified themselves as retired. With his emphasis on offshore drilling, Mr. McCain has also enjoyed heavy support from generous benefactors in the oil and gas industry, a group Mr. Obama drew relatively little from.
After the financial arena, Mr. Obama drew the most in checks of $25,000 or more from retirees and lawyers — Mr. McCain collected significantly less in large donations from lawyers — followed by those in real estate.
Mr. Obama also drew a significant amount from big givers in the entertainment industry, who contributed relatively little to Mr. McCain. In contrast, donations from the private equity and hedge fund industries accounted for a significantly greater amount of the giving from Mr. McCain’s largest donors, compared with Mr. Obama’s.
If you appreciaterd this message, then please have a look at my blog, http://my.barackobama.com/page/community/blog/henrymu and support and contribute to the campaign (it’s not over until the polls close): http://tinyurl.com/henrym4obamafundraising
Henry M
Dear Senator Obama,
I am in no way shape or form a practiced economist however having operated in the lending world and residential real estate market I do have a theory for a cost free answer to our current economic situation. I am a supporter of your campaign and this is my simple minded attempt to propose a simple change with positive ramifications for all. Property values are at the heart of this situation. Depreciation is an overwhelmingly guilty culprit.
Proposal: Property Depreciation Stop Loss Act of 2008,
Please read the extended post for detail.
Thank you,
As a business owner involved in helping people find good real estate buyer agents internationally, I am deeply concerned about the current economic crisis and whether real estate purchases will continue to be affordable and accessible.
We are seeing real estate prices reduced in many areas of the country, especially California. My ex-husband recently bought a beautiful home with acreage, 3 barns & a house in Missouri at action for a fraction of it's value. Yet one family's bargain is another family's nightmare.
We need to find systems that insure qualified people can still get loans, and those who have temporary financial setbacks are not so quickly thrown into foreclosure. I'd love to hear other's ideas on how this can best be accomplished.
I am a mother of two that has picked up a bar tending job because it allows me to work nights so I can stay at home with my children during the day. My husband and I "own" a home and a condo that we rent out. We have interest only options for both payments. We bought the condo because we sold out first house with huge gains and decided that the best place to invest our money was in something we know, and in something we felt we could have a hands-on risk with. We had planned to sell the condo within five years of purchase and rent it out in the meantime. So far so good, except that now I'm locked into the concept for the next ten years (looks-like). We are unable to pay down either mortg, only to cover the interest only payment and sometimes (like the holidays) the minimum payment. Lately, the interest rate has gone down and that has been a big relief! Now I am able to make both payments (IO) but at least were not neg-am on them. If interest rates could continue going down then we wouldn't be so strapped. Maybe we could consider spending at businesses other than our grocery store and gas station. I also am a fan of increasing the child tax deduction from $3500 to $7000. I'm sure there would be an income cap to that deduction so it hits the target families.
Thanks for reading!
Amy
Show devastated Cleveland neighborhood. 2 stories, told by the people that lived it.
Go ahead, call me crazy. Many thought I was when over the past five years I said the real estate market was going to crash so "Don't buy it right now!" Well maybe you shouldn't buy this Palin game either. At least not so fast! Consider all scenarios, even the "crazy." Why not? It's crazy to consider Palin as a reasonably qualified choice for VP, but the GOP thinks we should? But why? Why really? They say in the movie business that the "truth is always stranger than fiction." Keep that in mind!
There's also something terribly wrong, something else going on, when something gains too much value, too fast, and without solid reasoning.
There's usually something very wrong when something is too cheap. There's also usually something terribly wrong, something else going on, when something gains too much value, too fast and without solid reasoning. Remember the Dot.com crash? Look at the housing market. Look at the practice of undocumented income "liar's loans," and "interest only financing?" What's the common thread? A lot of hot air was being bought and sold. Someone was getting rich on the scam but we are all paying the price for the con now, even those of us who didn't play and didn't fall for it.
Palin is like a lovely $500K home sold for $975. in the San Diego real estate rush. It's got lots of great features, it's not a starter home by any means (for most people) but it's also not yet really worth nearly a million dollars. The bottom was bound to fall out and the buyer at $975. got burned. Hard to continue to love a home that bankrupted you... Keep these things in mind.
Now consider this. McCAIN's being sold as a maverick and one who marches to his on drum, can't be pushed around, etc. etc. Does that really sound like someone the GOP really wants in power, I mean really? Even little old me, I've made enough waves in my life to know how most people in business --and society for that matter, feel about independent thinkers; They don't like them! And, importantly, they'd really prefer "you" leave.
Sarah Palin is a perfect choice for the GOP given that an ambitious but "not ready for prime time" puppet is who they wanted and had in G.W. Bush, and who they'll have in Palin. Palin is such a novice in world affairs that she will be absolutely dependent on the GOP to prop her up. Now here's one thing all women should understand... Attention Women: Never let yourself get so dependent that you cannot make it on your own. If you do, sooner or later you might be forced to "sell out" or leave. That's reason enough that Palin should not even be considered for VP. She's not ready! Later on, with more appropriate and broadened experience, go for it Sarah! But Palin is NOT ready right now. Plenty of GOP female politicians are, and they can fit the conservative mold the GOP desires just fine, so why is Palin the choice really?
Could all this circus be cover for the real goal of the game, for the GOP to lose?
Could all this circus be cover for the real goal of the game, for the GOP to lose? McCain would be out of the GOP's hair pretty much for good. The loss will be blamed on all those "terrible, heathen, baby and woman hating, unpatriotic, money wasting Democrats!"
What does the GOP gain? Jumping the just-about-to-capsize US Economic ship. The ship that largely the GOP built, and built with tons of hot air and deregulated, un-inspected "steel," a paper ship. The ship made it to the land of leisure, but can't make it back to get the rest of us because it was only ever designed to sail one voyage. The land of leisure was not for all of us. And now, ship sinking, the American people are boarding. Let Obama win the race for new "captain," but make it look like a really close race so as to not invoke the people's "too cheap" instinctual cautions. Later, Blame it on Obama and those damn Democrats when everybody drowns. Then a "few" years from now, maybe eight if we are very, very lucky, when a new structure is in place to put the crises on the mend, the GOP will build a new ship. All aboard....
After thought: In the political game of farming candidates, this run for VP really shouldn't hurt Palin a bit in the long run. Initially virtually unknown, she's now forever a house hold name. So far nothing so damning has come forward that can't be managed later. She just might be the Obama of 2016, actually ready for the job next time. All in all, the GOP might win this one as a double jackpot -- by losing.
