From Electoral-Vote.com:
In New Mexico, Obama appears to be pulling away. He is now leading 53% to 40%. Like Nevada and Colorado, the state has a large Latino population favorably disposed to Obama. If Obama can win the Kerry states plus Iowa (which looks increasingly like it is in the bag for him) plus New Mexico, he has 264 electoral votes. That means he needs to win only one state out of the set: Florida, Ohio, Virginia, Missouri, Colorado, and Nevada. McCain has to hold all six of these key swing states. (If Obama wins just Nevada, it becomes 269-269 and goes to the House. There will be a long posting about that scenario after the news of the conventions dies down.)
This is great news! Except for one thing. We can't see a large margin in the polls and say, "Whew! Our work is done." We can't be complacent about an Obama win. We have to campaign like we're 10 points behind and be ready for the usual dirty tricks and shenanigans.
Having said that, Woo Hoo!
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