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1%, or 1 vote out of 100There have been 12 Presidential elections that were decided by less than a 1% margin; meaning if less than 1% of the voters in certain states had changed their mind to the other candidate the outcome of the entire election would have been different. More than half were decided by less than a 2% margin.
In 2004, 57,787 votes would have given us President Kerry.In 2000, 269 votes would have given us President GoreIn 1996, 575,515 votes would have given us President Dole.
From ABC News:
http://blogs.abcnews.com/scienceandsociety/2008/09/squeakers.html
=========="Squeakers"Ned PotterABC NewsSeptember 29, 2008How close have Presidential elections been? Closer, perhaps, than we ever guessed. Mike Sheppard, a grad student in statistics at Michigan State, has done a mathematical exercise that shows it.He ran a computer program to answer this question: "What is the smallest number of total votes that need to be switched from one candidate to another, and from which states, to affect the outcome of the election?"The answer: in some years, very, very few. Take a look at his analysis HERE. It shows the powerful interaction between the popular vote and the electoral college.[...]==========
Full article here:http://blogs.abcnews.com/scienceandsociety/2008/09/squeakers.html
Detailed analysis here, including colored maps:https://www.msu.edu/~sheppa28/elections.html-Mike Sheppard
http://www.politico.com/blogs/bensmith/0908/Palin_and_Couric.html
For those of you who haven't watched - be warned, it's embarrassing (yet, somewhow satisfying) to watch...
Rhode Islanders,
There are hundreds of volunteers who want to work for Barack Obama this fall in the swing states, but a lot of these volunteers, students and recent college graduates like myself (Stanford 2008), don't have the resources to get where they are needed.
If you have 25,000 miles on any airline, you likely have enough miles to sponsor a verified volunteer's trip to work in a swing state! Registering new voters and talking to undecided voters face to face is the best way to fight all the smear campaigns and attack ads we are facing.
In the primaries one woman with a phone line raised two million miles for Obama! For the general election we can raise even more!
To get involved as a sponsor or volunteer please email alisa@travelforchange.org or just visit TravelforChange.org and please pass this on!
We all do better with the Democrats!
http://www.nytimes.com/2008/08/31/business/31view.html?em
Send this one to everyone in Ohio, Pennsylvania, etc.
Keep Hope Alive!
After suffering through several nights of Republican Convention coverage, I have become more determined than ever to help the Obama campaign this fall. Once again, the politics of fear and hate have shown themselves in the Republican party who offer not a single new idea or policy to get this country back on track and out of the horrible and dangerous mess that they themselves have put us in. They have sunken to the low-life politics of fear-mongering once again. Vote for us or you'll be sorry - you'll be in danger. This is all they have to cling to as they cannot point to a single success over the last 8 years. I hope the American public can see through this lie. Enough!
As a woman, I am deeply offended by McCain's choice as running mate and the Republican assumption that because she is a woman, I should choose her. This is insulting. This person has nothing in common with my beliefs and is actually opposed to those things that I value: Freedom of choice for women and protection of the environment. The tabloid headlines that she is bringing to this race are not just tragic, if somewhat comical, but embarrassing for women everywhere: This was the best choice of any Republican woman? This was the best that Republican Party could offer? How sad and what a terrible role model for young girls. See NY Times Op-Ed column:
http://www.nytimes.com/2008/09/03/opinion/03dowd.html
It is with renewed energy and vitality that I again promise to do everything I can to help get Barack Obama elected President of the United States. The whole world needs him.
The speech on Tuesday night was testament that he is the right person. I look forward to the United States of America being the greatest nation in the world once more.
I will begin posting events again soon, and hope to see Massachusetts Obama supporters join in soon. Please go to my friends list and sign on if you live in MA, NH or RI, the three states I frequent. This is the chance of our lifetime to bring a change the likes that won't be seen again as long as we live. Let's celebrate it together, let's do it together, let's energize each other, let's include as many people as possible.
One has to consider that Hillary Clinton grew up in an age when girls were often socialized away from playing sports and learning some of life's important lessons. I don't know what her personal experiences were in that regard, but her actions during the campaign and now at the end show a serious lack of sportsmanlike conduct that we as parents routinely work to instill in our youth - play by the rules, don't blame the refs, respect their calls even if you disagree and at the end of the game, graciously congratulate the winner.
Millions of girls are watching Hillary at this moment. Yet Hillary's unsportsmanlike conduct, trying to change the rules in the middle of the game; blaming everyone else for her own failures, failing to take responsibility for her own weaknesses; and ignoring Barack Obama's historic milestone in gaining the Democratic nomination, prevent her from being celebrated as a powerful, successful and historic leader. What a shame for her to have squandered that historic moment in history when the first woman candidate for President could have congratulated the first black American who gained the Presidential nomination in such a close race against her. I am saddened by the loss it has caused to all of us. She failed to see the power she had in her own hands to exemplify greatness in a leader and she was the only person with the opportunity to do so.
Her delay to make that move reinforces the stereotype that women are indecisive and are not commanding in the moment when it is necessary. How could anyone possibly need 24 to 48 hours to make the decision to admit that they had lost the nomination when all the facts were right there for several days? A sad day in Women's History. A reinforcing point to the argument that Barack Obama was the better candidate all along.
Dr. and Mrs. Peter V. Calabria and Family
It's all about the pledged delegates.
The Clinton campaign won three states on Tuesday, and has taken full advantage of the bragging rights they've earned, but the real story is the delegates. The Clinton campaign was down by more than 150 delegates, and they're still down by more than 150 delegates. Looking ahead, the rest of the primary calendar consists of Pennsylvania plus nine States That Don't Matter.* Even if the Clinton campaign wins an Ohio-grade win in the Keystone State, that won't make up for all the delegates the Obama campaign will pick up in the States That Don't Matter. When the primary season is over, the Obama campaign will still have anywhere from 200 to 300 more delegates than the Clinton campaign.
For all the talk about the superdelegates, it's the pledged delegates (and the voters they represent) that tell the real story. All those voters represent political power, and the mass of pledged delegates exerts its own political gravity. When the voting is done, the superdelegates are going to find themselves drawn into the orbits of the pledged delegates like meteors drawn into the gravity well of a large planet. When that happens, the greater mass of pledged delegates that make up Planet Obama will exert the greater political gravity, and the majority of the superdelegates will find themselves drawn into its orbit. As a result, by the time the party meets in Denver, Planet Obama will already have gained a critical mass of superdelegates, and the nomination will follow.
So don't worry about talk of the superdelegates overturning the results of the primaries. They will be unable to resist the superior gravity of Planet Obama.
*A State That Doesn't Matter is defined as any "small" state where Obama's superior ground game results in a landslide victory.
A capacity crowd of 5,000 attended Barack's rally at Rhode Island College yesterday.
Photos by Uber-Photographer Frank Mullin
Massachusetts Senator John Kerry will be helping to kick off canvasses in Providence and Newport on Monday, March 3rd.
Erik S. Lesser for The New York Times, Jan 10, 2008
Canvass Kickoff in Providence at 9:45am EST
235 Westminster St.
Providence, RI, 02903
Join us
Canvass Kickoff in Newport at 11:45am EST
8 Fair St.
Newport, RI
"What started as a whisper, swelled into a chourus of millions singing for change" - Barack Obama
Volunteers are streaming in the door and lending a hand to help Barack Obama win the Rhode Island primary on March 4th.
Come down and join this movement for change:
Providence, RI
Help knock doors this weekend, Monday and Tuesday to Get Out the Vote for Barack Obama.
Sign up here: Rhode Island GOTV Canvass
Hundreds of students from 4 colleges and universities across Rhode Island came out to see actor Kal Penn speak about the important role young people can play in Rhode Island's March 4th primary.
Help Get Out the Vote this weekend: Rhode Island GOTV
Kal began his tour at the University of Rhode Island in Kingston then went off to Providence to visit with students at Rhode Island College.
Brown University students packed into Blue State Coffee to hear Kal Penn.
Roger Williams University capped off a great day of brilliant policy questions by students, insightful answers by Kal Penn, and a whole lot of fun for all.
Juan Escoriza, the Roger Williams University campus coordinator, said about the 146 students that came out for Kal at his schooll, "Roger Williams has never been a political campus, but after today's event, it shows that RWU is fired up and ready to go!"
If you believe in change want to help Barack win Rhode Island on March 4th go to:
Rhode Island GOTV
