I haven't seen the polls broken down like this anywhere so I decided to do it myself. This is an analysis of the elector votes each candidate would recieve based on individual state polls. The good news, if today were November 3nd, and the poll numbers were accurate, Barack Obama would be our President.
Alabama 9 McCainAlaska 3 McCainArizona 10 McCainArkansas 6 McCainCalifornia 55 ObamaColorado 9 ObamaConnecticut 7 ObamaDelaware 3 ObamaDistrict Of Columbia 3 ?Florida 27 McCainGeorgia 15 McCainHawaii 4 ObamaIdaho 4 McCainIllinois 21 ObamaIndiana 11 McCainIowa 7 ObamaKansas 6 McCainKentucky 8 McCainLouisiana 9 McCainMaine * 4 ObamaMaryland 10 ObamaMassachusetts 12 ObamaMichigan 17 ObamaMinnesota 10 ObamaMississippi 6 McCainMissouri 11 ObamaMontana 3 McCainNebraska * 5 McCainNevada 5 McCainNew Hampshire 4 ObamaNew Jersey 15 ObamaNew Mexico 5 ObamaNew York 31 ObamaNorth Carolina 15 McCainNorth Dakota 3 McCainOhio 20 McCainOklahoma 7 McCainOregon 7 ObamaPennsylvania 21 ObamaRhode Island 4 ObamaSouth Carolina 8 McCainSouth Dakota 3 McCainTennessee 11 McCainTexas 34 McCainUtah 5 McCainVermont 3 ObamaVirginia 13 ObamaWashington 11 ObamaWest Virginia 5 McCainWisconsin 10 ObamaWyoming 3 McCain Totals 538 Obama 294 McCain 241 * Maine and Nebraska are not winner take all.
If anyone knows of a site where they do this breakdown please let me know.
Who do you think will be next?
Rep. Jason Altmire (PA)Add-on William Bashein (OH)Sen. Max Baucus (MT)DNC Hon. Joyce Beatty (OH)Gov. Steve Beshear (KY)Sen. Joe Biden (DE)DNC Don Bivens (AZ)Rep. Madeleine Bordallo (GU)Rep. Dan Boren (OK)Rep. Nancy Boyda (KS)DNC Hon. Bill Bradbury (OR)Rep. Bob Brady (PA)DNC Donna Brazile (DC)Gov. Phil Bredeson (TN)DNC Scott Brennan (IA)Sen. Sherrod Brown (OH)DNC Raymond Buckley (NH)DNC Elsie Burkhalter (LA)Sen. Robert Byrd (WV)DNC Margarett Campbell (MT)Sen. Ben Cardin (MD)DNC Hon. Robin Carnahan (MO)Sen. Tom Carper (DE)Jimmy Carter (GA)DNC Nick Casey Jr. (WV)Rep. Don Cazayoux (LA)DNC Cheryl Chapman (SD)DNC Hon. Maria Chappelle-Nadal (MO)DNC Linda Chavez-Thompson (TX)Rep. Travis Childers (MS)Rep. Jim Clyburn (SC)Add-on Martha Coakley (MA)DNC Hon. Gilda Cobb-Hunter (SC)DNC Hon. Catherine Cortez-Masto (NV)Rep. Jim Costa (CA)DNC Ed Cote (WA)Rep. Joe Courtney (CT)Rep. Bud Cramer (AL)DNC C. Richard Cranwell (VA)DNC Dr. Inez Crutchfield (TN)DNC John Daniello (DE)Rep. Susan Davis (CA)Rep. Lincoln Davis (TN)DNC Ralph Dawson (NY)DNC Howard Dean (VT)DNC Jennifer DeChant (ME)DNC Nancy DiNardo (CT)DNC Frank Dixon (OR)DNC Wayne Dowdy (MS)Rep. Mike Doyle (PA)DNC Nancy Drummond (WY)Rep. Brad Ellsworth (IN)Rep. Rahm Emanuel (IL)Rep. Bob Etheridge (NC)Rep. Sam Farr (CA)Rep. Bob Filner (CA)DNC Jim Frasier (OK)DNC Larry Gates (KS)DNC Hon. Yvonne Gates (NV)DNC Alice Germond (WV)Rep. Gabrielle Giffords (AZ)Add-on Terry Goddard (AZ)Rep. Bart Gordon (TN)Al Gore (TN)DNC Jenny Greenleaf (OR)DNC David Hardt (TX)Sen. Tom Harkin (IA)DNC Hon. Alexis Herman (VA)Rep. Tim Holden (PA)DNC Ivan Holmes (OK)Rep. Rush Holt (NJ)Rep. Mike Honda (CA)Rep. Steny Hoyer (MD)Rep. William Jefferson (LA)DNC Blake Johnson (AK)DNC Denise Johnson (TX)Rep. Marcia Kaptur (OH)DNC Wayne Kinney (OR)DNC Helen Knetzer (KS)Sen. Herb Kohl (WI)DNC Debra Kozikowski (MA)Rep. Dennis Kucinich (OH)Rep. Nick Lampson (TX)Sen. Mary Landrieu (LA)DNC Helen Langan (UT)Sen. Frank Lautenberg (NJ)DNC Claude Buddy Leach (LA)DNC Jim Leaman (VA)Add-on Jerry Lee (TN)DNC Belkis Leong-Hong (MD)DNC Sam Lieberman (NV)DNC Pilar Lujan (GU)Gov. John Lynch (NH)DNC Eileen Macoll (WA)DNC Ronald Malone (OH)Gov. Joe Manchin (WV)Rep. Edward Markey (MA)Rep. Jim Marshall (GA)DNC Sharon Mast (WA)Rep. Jim Matheson (UT)DNC Dennis McDonald (MT)DNC David McDonald (WA)Rep. Mike McIntyre (NC)Rep. Jerry McNerney (CA)DNC Leila Medley (MO)Rep. Charlie Melancon (LA)Rep. Michael Michaud (ME)DNC Hon. Carole Migden (CA)George Mitchell (NY)DNC Hon. Heather Mizeur (MD)Rep. Alan Mollohan (WV)Rep. Dennis Moore (KS)DNC Jennifer Moore (KY)DNC Patricia Moss (OH)DNC Bob Mulholland (CA)DNC Philip D. Murphy (NJ)Add-on Jay Nixon (MO)DNC Cynthia Nunley (WY)DNC Muriel Offerman (NC)Rep. John Olver (MA)DNC Ben Pangelinan (GU)DNC David Parker (NC)DNC Jay Parmley (OK)DNC Hon. Gregory Pecoraro (MD)Rep. Nancy Pelosi (CA)DNC Christine Pelosi (CA)DNC Dwight Pelz (WA)DNC John Perez (CA)Rep. Collin Peterson (MN)DNC Carol Peterson (NC)DNC Carnelia Pettis-Fondren (MS)DNC Robert Rankin (CA)DNC Gail Rasmussen (OR)DNC Richard Ray (GA)DNC Hon. Chris Redfern (OH)Sen. Jack Reed (RI)Sen. Harry Reid (NV)DNC Boyd Richie (TX)DNC Betty Richie (TX)Gov. Bill Ritter (CO)DNC James Roosevelt Jr. (MA)DNC Eliseo Roques-Arroyo (PR)Rep. John Salazar (CO)Sen. Ken Salazar (CO)Rep. John Sarbanes (MD)DNC Gray Sasser (TN)Gov. Brian Schweitzer (MT)DNC Jerome Wiley Segovia (VA)DNC Lottie Shackleford (AR)DNC Edward Smith (IL)DNC Nathan Smith (KY)DNC Harriet Smith-Windsor (DE)Rep. Zack Space (OH)DNC Cindy Spanyers (AK)DNC Sam Spencer (ME)Rep. John Spratt (SC)DNC Marylyn Stapleton (VI)DNC Irene Stein (NY)DNC David Strauss (ND)Fmr DNC Chair Bob Strauss (TX)DNC John Sweeney (MD)Rep. Gene Taylor (MS)DNC John Temporiti (MO)Sen. Jon Tester (MT)Rep. John Tierney (MA)DNC Art Torres (CA)Rep. Niki Tsongas (MA)DNC Susan Turnbull (MD)DNC Joe Turnham (AL)Rep. Mark Udall (CO)Rep. Tom Udall (NM)DNC Keith Umemoto (CA)Rep. Chris Van Hollen (MD)DNC Pat Waak (CO)DNC Christine Warnke (DC)Sen. Jim Webb (VA)DNC Yolanda Wheat (MO)DNC Chris Whittington (LA)Rep. Charlie Wilson (OH)DNC Meredith Woods-Smith (OR)DNC Nancy Worley (AL)Sen. Ron Wyden (OR)DNC Steve Ybarra (CA)DNC Paula Zellner (WI)
I wrote in my "Why I support Barack Obama" box that I was intrigued by him the first time I heard him speak at the Democratic Convention in 2004. While that is a true statement, it was the transcript of another speech that inspired me to join this website and become a part of a political campaign for the first time in my life. It was a speech about the connection between religion and politics. After reading the transcript, I felt both a sense of relief - because somebody finally figured it out - and a sense of urgency to do my part in getting Barack Obama elected.
It's impossible to summarize the speech so I won't try. If you haven't read or heard it, here's the link... Call to Renewal Keynote Address
In the context of that particular speech, I find it ironic. The same man who stood in front of Evangelical Christians and said...
"Democracy demands that the religiously motivated translate their concerns into universal, rather than religion-specific, values. It requires that their proposals be subject to argument, and amenable to reason."
...is being characterized by the words of his former pastor. It's time for this country to move beyond stereotyping individuals whether it's based on their skin color, religion, ethnicity, etc. and it's time we reconcile the connection between religion and politics.
I posted this in a comment on one of Ben Vos's blogs - which are totally worth reading btw. I haven't posted a blog in a while so I am recycling - in honor of Earth Day (belated) of course. :)
I am looking for a president (or government really) that takes a Holistic approach to national security and immigration. Two things that in reality go hand in hand.
If we put a band-aid on a wound as deep as illegal immigration, the pus will ooze out in no time. The problem has to be addressed at its roots. The illegal immigration story is only half told. Mexicans are coming here for employment because people are employing them. Pressure needs to be applied in the right spot. Then the question becomes... why aren't the employers of illegal immigrants being pressured? There is an abiding belief that Americans won't work as cheaply as illegal immigrants. I'd say that is true in a lot of areas and a lot of circumstances, but as our economy gets weaker and weaker the tides are turning. Take my home state of West Virginia for example. Last year I read a report about the increase in illegal immigrant population on a state by state basis. I was not the least bit surprised to find out that WV was the only state to have NO increase. Why? Because the economy has been so bad for so long (forever really) that West Virginians don't expect high wages. In places where Americans are still demanding a decent wage, the government needs to crack down on employers. It will take a VERY brave and honest person to undercut those businesses though. I really hope Senator Obama is that type of person.
Foreign terrorism is another extremely deep wound. The things we are seeing happen now are rooted in hatred that goes back through years and years of discriminatory foreign policy. In my opinion, Senator Obama will be a fresh face on the foreign policy front, and might be able to at least turn the hatred into neutrality and open up a window of opportunity. However, I haven't heard him address the core issues on this so I can't say whether or not the final solution lies with him.
As I was coming into work this morning, the front desk receptionist was showing another co-worker an online video of Hillary Clinton. They were laughing and making fun of the fakeness of it all. They are McCain supporters. Oddly enough, I share much of the same sentiments. As a woman, I like the idea of a woman running for president, but I refuse to support a candidate based on their genetalia. Hillary Clinton doesn't even compare to the strength and character of Barack Obama.
Hello to anyone who reads this!
My name is Rebecca and this is the first time in my adult life that I have ever supported a mainstream politician. I usually lean towards the Green Party candidates because I have a theory that society can go to pots but everything will work out in the end if we can just keep the planet in tact. Strange, I know, but I don't have much faith in humankind.
So why now? Why am I here on Barack Obama's campaign website?
I vividly recall the Democratic Party's convention in 2004 when the freshman Senator Barack Obama gave a wonderfully moving speech. I said out loud, "Why doesn't someone like that run for President?" When I heard Senator Obama had announced his candidacy in 2007, I was excited but skeptical. I never imagined that this many people would share my point of view. The unity brought about by Barack Obama has surprised even me, and I am hard to surprise.
Until next time,
~Rebecca
