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Tom from England (Birmingham, England)

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Spreading Obama's message to those in the UK, that aren't lucky enough to get a vote!

Delegate Math

By Tom from England - Mar 11th, 2008 at 1:25 pm EDT

I have been keeping tabs on all of the delegates and superdelegate endorsements on a spreadsheet - the math looks extremely positive for Obama.

As far as I can see, since it is now almost a certainty that the nomination will ultimately be decided by Superdelegates, there are three ways that their vote will be decided.

1) Superdelegates will vote for the candidate who has the most conventional "Pledged" delegates in their state.

2) Superdelegates will go with the popular vote in their state.

3) The superdelegate vote will be split fairly evenly, 50/50 between both candidates.

I have made a spreadsheet showing the current delegate totals, both pledged and superdelegates, popular vote counts and different outcomes for each of the above scenarios. Click http://www.badsey.org/delegatecalculator.xls to see spreadsheet. You can even modify the delegate spread in the upcoming primaries and caucuses - like in Slate's Delegate calculator.

Please let me know if any corrections need to be made to it! I realise the math I have used is quite simple (winner takes all remaining superdelegates in each state - which won't happen) - but it does even out across all of the primaries.

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Today

By Tom from England - Feb 5th, 2008 at 8:21 am EST

America: Today may well prove to be the biggest day in world politics for the last 40 years. This Tuesday the 5th of February 2008, states across America have an opportunity to select a candidate, who will likely be inaugurated next year as the next President of the United States, and effectively - the next leader of the free world.

The rest of the world is watching you. Please, please get out the vote. Barack Obama is the choice that America and the rest of the world is going crazy for - for good reason too! We are tired of suffering the repercussions of the Bush era and Barack is the only candidate who can change America for the better - and the rest of the world as a result.

Each of you can play your part in changing the world today. Please vote for Senator Obama in your primary today. Take your friends, family and co-workers with you to your caucus. Every vote in this tight race is important. Although the polls are looking good in many states - this is no time to be complacent! The New Hampshire results not very long ago are a painful reminder that the only poll that counts are the ones you place today!

As Barack would say... America: Let's go change the world!

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